Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.005373 0.005922 0.006489 0.007116 0.007791 0.008493 0.009277
2025-04-13 0.004497 0.005286 0.006140 0.007130 0.008241 0.009446 0.010848
2025-04-20 0.003888 0.004794 0.005809 0.007024 0.008431 0.010001 0.011876
2025-04-27 0.003464 0.004448 0.005587 0.006987 0.008649 0.010547 0.012863
2025-05-04 0.003120 0.004159 0.005392 0.006946 0.008833 0.011031 0.013761
2025-05-11 0.002921 0.004023 0.005362 0.007084 0.009216 0.011739 0.014922
2025-05-18 0.002640 0.003758 0.005150 0.006980 0.009285 0.012060 0.015613
2025-05-25 0.002458 0.003606 0.005067 0.007021 0.009525 0.012582 0.016546
2025-06-01 0.002372 0.003572 0.005126 0.007240 0.009986 0.013378 0.017826
2025-06-08 0.002243 0.003469 0.005088 0.007325 0.010273 0.013958 0.018840
2025-06-15 0.002152 0.003413 0.005106 0.007479 0.010646 0.014648 0.020000
2025-06-22 0.002075 0.003369 0.005136 0.007647 0.011036 0.015362 0.021199
2025-06-29 0.001889 0.003161 0.004934 0.007497 0.011008 0.015546 0.021734
2025-07-06 0.001768 0.003041 0.004850 0.007504 0.011188 0.016001 0.022627
2025-07-13 0.001623 0.002875 0.004688 0.007395 0.011202 0.016232 0.023225
2025-07-20 0.001511 0.002751 0.004582 0.007356 0.011307 0.016582 0.023980
2025-07-27 0.001407 0.002633 0.004478 0.007314 0.011403 0.016917 0.024716
2025-08-03 0.001360 0.002604 0.004503 0.007457 0.011760 0.017609 0.025938
2025-08-10 0.001253 0.002468 0.004360 0.007348 0.011753 0.017800 0.026484
2025-08-17 0.001190 0.002403 0.004322 0.007391 0.011963 0.018289 0.027439
2025-08-24 0.001174 0.002416 0.004406 0.007619 0.012443 0.019161 0.028927
2025-08-31 0.001128 0.002374 0.004400 0.007709 0.012721 0.019752 0.030036
2025-09-07 0.001099 0.002361 0.004440 0.007869 0.013104 0.020496 0.031364